Based on winter mean temperature observation data in Xinjiang and Arctic Oscillation (AO) index and atmospheric circulation data, the relation and variation between mean temperature in Xinjiang and AO in winter were studied, the conceptual model of winter mean temperature prediction in Xinjiang due to AO influence under the climate warming background was established. The results show that in the process of climate warming, the relation between mean temperature in Xinjiang and AO in winter not only came from global warming, but also depended on AO change in the same period. Overall, the positive (negative) anomaly of temperature in Xinjiang in winter corresponded to AO positive (negative) anomaly. Since the global climate warming, the impact of AO on mean temperature in Xinjiang in winter was asymmetric. When the winter AO index was in positive phase, the corresponding air temperature in Xinjiang was higher than normal, the anomalous change of temperature in Xinjiang matched to AO anomaly in winter. However, when the winter AO index was in negative phase, the positive and negative anomaly of winter air temperature in Xinjiang depended on the intensity of the Polar vortex in northeastern Hemisphere and geopotential height anomaly in the east of 70°E longitude and middle latitude.
The clustering analysismethod is used to divide the temperature field in sp ring and summer over the Qinghai - Xizang Plateau into three areas for p redicting the temperature trends of different areas. Based on the correlation between the temperature indexes in sp ring and summer over the Plateau and the Pacific SST in the p receding season, the SST distribution index is defined. When the winter SST over the western Pacific is higher ( lower) than normal, the sp ring temperature in Areas II of the Plateau is higher ( lower) ; while the winter SST in the western and eastern Pacific is higher ( lower) than normal, the summer temperature over southern Areas II and Areas III of the Plateau is higher ( lower) . Further analysis are conducted about the correlation between these two SST distributions and the 500 hPa geopotential height field in sp ring and summer in the Northern Hemisphere. The results show thatwhen the winterwestern Pacific SST index is higher ( lower) , the cold air activities over high latitude weaken ( strengthen) and itsmoving route northward ( southward) ; meanwhile, the geopotential height field is lower ( higher) , it is advantageous ( disadvantageous) to the southern air currentmoving northward and the circulation conversion from the winter type to the summer one, and the sp ring temperature over the central Plateau is higher ( lower) than normal. In contrast, when the integrated index ofwinter SST in the western and eastern Pacific is higher ( lower) , the northern Plateau to southern central - Siberia ridge and the western Pacific subtrop ical high in summer strengthen (weaken) , and the Plateau controlled by high system, the summer temperature over the central and southern Plateau is higher ( lower) .
Based on the 250一year annual mean temperature sequence reconstructed by multi—piece of tree—tings in the Qinghai Plat-eau.the abrupt change characteristics and inter—annual variation of annual mean temperature there are synthetically analyzed by using methods of linear tendency,wavelet analysis and abrupt change test.The result shows that annual mean temperature fluctuated remark—ably in recent 250 years in the Qinghai Plateau,and the 30一year moving—mean presented higher annual mean temperature during 1779—1811 and 1934—2006,and the highest annual mean temperature(1.3 )in 1998;while lower annual mean temperature dur-ing 1740—1778 and 1812—1933,and the lowest value(一1.5 )occurred in 1823,but annual mean temperature generally kept ris—ing.On relatively large scale beyond 20一year ,the seven alternations of coldness and warmness for annual mean temperature appeared obviously.On time scales of two to three years,28一year,48一year an d 110一year,the cycle variation was comparatively evident.
The spatial and temporal evolution(haracteristics of spring sandstorm in Qinghai province and the impac[of abnormal(irculation and sea temperature on sandstorm weather are analyzed. The results show that high frequency()((urring sandstorm is in Chaidamu basin, northwest of Qinghai Lake and south of Qinghai province.From 1960s[()the beginning of this(entury, the sandstorm weather has been generally decreasing, in 1960s sandstorm()((urring in north of Qinghai province was much more than that in south, in 1970s it began[()<1e(reuse in north and increase in south, and in 1980s it began[()decrease generally, after 1990x, it presented a de(reusing tendency with fluctuation, moreover, at the beginning of 1980x, a significant fluctuation from high[()low frequency()((urred in the most part of Qinghai province. The sandstorm weather in Qinghai province has a(lose relationship with 500 hPa height field in March -May and in previous period of December[()February, especially in March-May, as the anticyclone ridge is getting in(reusing/de(reusing and the Monggolia low trough is getting deepening/decreasing,(old air activity is getting more/less and sandstorm weather in spring()((urs more/less. An<1 this kind +f temporal(hanging tendency of sandstorm and abnormal weather situation are(onsistent with that in northern China. The sandstorm in spring in Qinghai province is(lowly(onnected with sea temperature of India Ocean, when the sea temperature in north of India Ocean has been ascending/descending in previous period of March[()August, the sandstorm weather in spring is getting less/more.